Predicting how the climate will change over the next 20-50 years, as well as defining emissions pathways to keep the world on track, requires a better understanding of how several human and natural factors will affect the climate in coming decades. These include how atmospheric aerosols affect the Earth’s radiation budget, and the roles of clouds and oceans in driving climate change.

Bilde mangler beskrivelse
Bilde mangler beskrivelse

Illustrasjon: DALL-E.

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CONSTRAIN, a consortium of 14 European partners, is investigating these factors, feeding them into climate models to reduce uncertainties in, and create improved climate projections for, the next 20-50 years, on regional as well as global scales.

It is also translating this new scientific understanding into an improved and up-to-date evidence base aimed at informing international climate policy, and supporting decisions on climate mitigation and adaptation.

Constrain focuses on three climate science knowledge gaps plus one policy-facing knowledge gap:

CONSTRAIN is structured around three science knowledge gaps particularly relevant for climate projections on the 20-50 year timeframe and a fourth knowledge gap on the translation of new science in societal decisions


Knowledge gaps